Description

This analysis provides a forecast of ETH prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-09-07 0.031192 0.033553 0.035914 0.038449 0.041089 0.043755 0.046647
2025-09-14 0.026166 0.029854 0.033668 0.037891 0.042421 0.047120 0.052347
2025-09-21 0.022955 0.027337 0.031979 0.037231 0.042975 0.049038 0.055891
2025-09-28 0.020243 0.025078 0.030313 0.036347 0.043059 0.050247 0.058481
2025-10-05 0.019148 0.024483 0.030359 0.037232 0.044975 0.053358 0.063053
2025-10-12 0.017914 0.023621 0.030013 0.037593 0.046232 0.055680 0.066701
2025-10-19 0.016500 0.022454 0.029234 0.037384 0.046782 0.057157 0.069362
2025-10-26 0.016014 0.022338 0.029633 0.038495 0.048802 0.060262 0.073825
2025-11-02 0.015087 0.021633 0.029294 0.038705 0.049753 0.062131 0.076873
2025-11-09 0.014068 0.020760 0.028708 0.038583 0.050284 0.063491 0.079321
2025-11-16 0.013181 0.020002 0.028220 0.038543 0.050880 0.064903 0.081806
2025-11-23 0.012167 0.019032 0.027432 0.038105 0.050976 0.065711 0.083579
2025-11-30 0.011207 0.018149 0.026789 0.037907 0.051449 0.067070 0.086133
2025-12-07 0.010093 0.017020 0.025815 0.037296 0.051433 0.067881 0.088090
2025-12-14 0.009071 0.015947 0.024855 0.036649 0.051329 0.068548 0.089844
2025-12-21 0.008045 0.014802 0.023749 0.035773 0.050905 0.068803 0.091086
2025-12-28 0.007786 0.014725 0.024033 0.036650 0.052631 0.071624 0.095358
2026-01-04 0.007352 0.014368 0.023923 0.037006 0.053701 0.073650 0.098685
2026-01-11 0.006748 0.013723 0.023396 0.036800 0.054050 0.074792 0.100950
2026-01-18 0.006640 0.013816 0.023871 0.037900 0.056041 0.077928 0.105605
2026-01-25 0.006240 0.013437 0.023679 0.038109 0.056895 0.079675 0.108591
2026-02-01 0.005762 0.012907 0.023253 0.037988 0.057318 0.080885 0.110924
2026-02-08 0.005342 0.012442 0.022898 0.037947 0.057831 0.082197 0.113375